IMPORTANT NOTICE:

 

 

AWIS WOOL MARKET REVIEW

Week Ending 7 December 2018 (Week 23)

The AWEX EMI finished at 1849˘, 11˘ lower (-0.6%) in Australian currency and 24˘ lower (-1.8%) in US currency at sales in Sydney, Melbourne and Fremantle this week.

37,410 bales were on offer nationally, compared with 34,513 bales last sale.  10.2% of the offering was passed in.  6.5% of this occurred in the Merino types and 19.1% among the crossbreds, where there were large falls in prices.

AWEX reports that the value of the wool sold was $68.2 million ($2,029 per bale), taking the season total to $1.466 billion ($2,275 per bale).

The New Zealand Merino Company also offered 905 bales in Melbourne on Thursday, of which 16.2% were passed in.

Day-to-Day and Sale-to-Sale Changes in AWEX Regional Indicators (Week 23)

Centre

Last Sale

Day-to-Day Changes (Week 23)

Sale-to-Sale

Closing

Sale-to-Sale Changes

 

Week

Indicator

Tuesday

Wednesday

Thursday

Change

Indicator

US ˘

Euro ˘

Eastern

22

1860

No Sale

-14

+3

-11 (-0.6%)

1849

-24

-18

Northern

22

1905

No Sale

-13

+5

-8 (-0.4%)

1897

-22

-16

Southern

22

1831

No Sale

-14

+1

-13 (-0.7%)

1818

-25

-18

Western

22

2009

No Sale

-14

+14

0 (0.0%)

2009

-17

-12

The first day displayed a downward trend that was more apparent among the lesser Merino and crossbred types, before becoming positive among the Merinos on Thursday when prices were assisted by a 0.62˘ fall in the US Exchange Rate.

The falls in the crossbred MPGs continued on Thursday, cancelling out the big gains made last week when these wools were in very strong demand.  Oddments were mixed on both days.  The average AWEX Merino Cardings Price Guide moved down by 15˘, after three weeks of rises to close at 1173˘.

The US Exchange Rate finished 0.88˘ (-1.2%) lower to close at 72.26˘ on Thursday.

Buyers for China were dominant, with support from buyers for Europe and India.

Looking ahead, the next sale will be the last before the three week Christmas break.  It is currently rostered for 48,777 bales.  It is the largest sale since the first sale after the mid-year break, when 49,414 bales were offered for sale.  However, it is still 4.2% less than the same week last year.

Differences in AWEX MPGs

18.5 and 22.0

18.0 and 22.0

17.5 and 22.0

17.0 and 22.0

16.5 and 22.0

North

No 22.0µ MPG

No 22.0µ MPG

No 22.0µ MPG

No 22.0µ MPG

No 22.0µ MPG

South

107˘

186˘

248˘

305˘

366˘

 

Market Indicator

Changes From

 

Four Sales Ago
Week 19

Start of
the Season

Week 23
Last Year

Season Average to
Week 23 Last Year

Eastern Market Indicator

+73  (+4.1%)

-139  (-7.0%)

+150  (+8.8%)

+379  (+23.9%)

Western Market Indicator

+78  (+4.0%)

-133  (-6.2%)

+247  (+14.0%)

+476  (+29.0%)

 

Sale-to-Sale Changes in Average AWEX Merino Micron Price Guides (MPGs)

Micron

16.5

17.0

17.5

18.0

18.5

19.0

19.5

20.0

21.0

22.0

23.0

24.0

Since Last Sale

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change ˘

+32

+22

+8

+9

+19

+24

+15

+4

-5

-1

 

 

Change %

+1.3%

+0.9%

+0.3%

+0.4%

+0.8%

+1.1%

+0.7%

+0.2%

-0.2%

0.0%

 

 

Since Start of the Season

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change ˘

-471

-319

-193

-88

-70

-76

-90

-109

-120

-110

 

 

Change %

-15.7%

-11.4%

-7.4%

-3.6%

-3.0%

-3.3%

-4.0%

-4.8%

-5.4%

-4.9%

 

 

Since Same Week Last Year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change ˘

-31

+5

+37

+83

+129

+188

+256

+342

+454

+548

 

 

Change %

-1.2%

+0.2%

+1.6%

+3.7%

+6.1%

+9.3%

+13.4%

+19.0%

+27.2%

+34.8%

 

 

 

Sale-to-Sale Changes in Other Average AWEX Price Guides

Micron

25.0

26.0

28.0

30.0

32.0

MC#

Since Last Sale

 

 

 

 

Change ˘

-66

-122

-85

-50

 

-15

Change %

-4.4%

-9.1%

-9.1%

-6.7%

 

-1.3%

Since Start of the Season

 

 

 

 

Change ˘

-395

-319

-106

+16

+4

-297

Change %

-21.6%

-20.7%

-11.1%

+2.4%

+0.9%

-20.2%

Since Same Week Last Year

 

 

 

 

Change ˘

+208

+144

+81

+110

+26

-265

Change %

+17.0%

+13.3%

+10.5%

+18.9%

+6.1%

-18.4%

#    Average Merino Cardings Price Guide

The following tables show the details of this week's sale offering; the expected offerings over the next three sales; the changes in Exchange Rates since the previous sale; and highlights from the October ABS export data.

Details of this Week’s Offering and the Comparison with the Previous Sale’s Offering

 

Progressive Changes from Last Year

Centre

Last Sale

This Sale

 

All Bales

1st Time Bales

 

Offering

Offering

Passed-In

Withdrawn
Before Sale

Re-Offered

Bales Sold

 

Bales

%

%

North

8,779

9,680

7.6%

1.3%

5.1%

8,949

 

-53,301

-20.2%

20.4%

South

17,691

19,002

11.2%

4.8%

8.2%

16,874

 

-79,238

-17.4%

18.1%

West

8,043

8,728

10.8%

3.8%

10.4%

7,784

 

-30,983

-18.8%

21.7%

Australia

34,513

37,410

10.2%

3.7%

7.9%

33,607

 

-163,522

-18.5%

19.5%

 

Next Sale Offerings and Year-on-Year Differences

Centre

Week 24

Week 25

Week 26

Differences

North

13,072

No Sale

No Sale

+3.5%

South

27,146

No Sale

No Sale

-7.5%

West

8,559

No Sale

No Sale

-4.2%

New Zealand

 

 

 

 

Australia

48,777

 

 

48,777

Differences

-4.2%

 

 

-4.2%

 

Exchange Rates

Last

Day-to-Day Changes

Sale-to-Sale

Closing

Season Min & Max

(Reserve Bank)

Sale

Fri

Mon

Tues

Wed

Thur

Change

Value

Min

Max

United States

73.14

+0.02

+0.51

+0.08

-0.87

-0.62

-0.88  (-1.2%)

72.26

70.72

74.41

Euro

64.24

-0.03

+0.69

-0.09

-0.48

-0.65

-0.56  (-0.9%)

63.68

61.17

64.24

 

Country

% Share of Australia’s Wool Exports by Weight of Wool Shipped

Year-on-Year % Change

 

October
2018

July to October
2018/19

July to October
2017/18

July to October

By Weight

By Value

China

78.2%

75.6%

77.1%

-17.6%

+12.5%

India

6.9%

6.6%

6.3%

-12.4%

+11.5%

Italy

6.0%

6.3%

5.3%

-0.5%

+21.9%

Czech Republic

2.4%

3.2%

5.0%

-48.4%

-21.1%

Korea

1.8%

2.8%

1.3%

+75.4%

+138.4%

Malaysia

0.9%

0.8%

1.3%

-45.9%

-36.7%

Egypt

0.8%

1.0%

1.0%

-19.8%

-2.3%

Taiwan

0.6%

0.9%

0.6%

+16.7%

+97.1%

Change all Countries

 

 

 

-20.7%

+8.2%

 

 

 

Next Three Sales

Week Number           Commencing                             Selling Centres                                Bales

24                 10 December 2018              Sydney, Melbourne and Fremantle                  48,777

25                 17 December 2018                                In Recess                                            

26                 24 December 2018                                In Recess                                            

© AWIS 2018 (for permission to reprint, in part or whole, please contact this office)

 

 

 

AWIS WOOL MARKET

REVIEW ARCHIVES

(Week Ending)

 

7 December 2018

30 November 2018

23 November 2018

16 November 2018

9 November 2018

2 November 2018

26 October 2018

19 October 2018

12 October 2018

5 October 2018

28 September 2018

21 September 2018

14 September 2018

7 September 2018

31 August 2018

24 August 2018

17 August 2018

10 August 2018

13 July 2018

6 July 2018

29 June 2018

22 June 2018

15 June 2018

8 June 2018

1 June 2018

25 May 2018

18 May 2018

11 May 2018

4 May 2018

27 April 2018

20 April 2018

13 April 2018

30 March 2018

23 March 2018

16 March 2018

9 March 2018

2 March 2018

23 February 2018

16 February 2018

9 February 2018

2 February 2018

26 January 2018

19 January 2018

12 January 2018

15 December 2017

8 December 2017

1 December 2017

24 November 2017

17 November 2017

10 November 2017

3 November 2017

27 October 2017

20 October 2017

13 October 2017

6 October 2017

29 September 2017

22 September 2017

15 September 2017

8 September 2017

1 September 2017

25 August 2017

18 August 2017

11 August 2017

14 July 2017

7 July 2017

30 June 2017

23 June 2017

16 June 2017

9 June 2017

2 June 2017

26 May 2017

19 May 2017

12 May 2017

5 May 2017

28 April 2017

14 April 2017

7 April 2017

31 March 2017

24 March 2017

17 March 2017

10 March 2017

3 March 2017

24 February 2017

17 February 2017

10 February 2017

3 February 2017

27 January 2017

20 January 2017

13 January 2017

Market Review Archives

2018 -1999

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